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DescriptivaDESCARGAS MAXIMAS EXTREMAS (m3/s)AOPUENTE SANCHEZ CERRO1926160019271200192872019296691930580.11931572.11932502.119335001934483.61935427.51936360.51937350.11938349.119393311940325.11941320.11942303.81943293.71944273.21945266.21946264.41947251.51948250.2Herramientas / Anlisis de Datos / Estadstica Desciptiva1949221.2PUENTE SANCHEZ CERRO1950205.2Media300.81951197.3Mediana201.251952188.1Moda1953187.2Desviacin estndar883.41954183.1Varianza7804541955180.1Curtosis4.601956175Coeficiente de asimetra2.061957170.8Rango44241958169.5Mnimo44.31959160.3Mximo16001960159.9Suma49299.51961146.3Cuenta741962146.119631461964145.31965137.81966132.91967128.51968119.31969118.51970100.2197196.9197290.3197353.1197445.5197544.3

Descriptiva

PUENTE SANCHEZ CERRO

NDESCARGAS MAXIMAS EXTREMAS (m3/s)AOQQ ORDENADOSF(x)f(x)MEDIA300.8419261600.01600.001.00000.000000DESV.EST.280.0319271200.01200.000.99930.0000081928720.0720.000.93280.0004651929669.0669.000.90570.0006001930580.1580.100.84070.0008661931572.1572.100.83360.0008911932502.1502.100.76380.0011001933500.0500.000.76150.0011061934483.6483.600.74300.0011511935427.5427.500.67450.0012861936360.5360.500.58440.0013931937350.1350.100.56980.0014031938349.1349.100.56840.0014041939331.0331.000.54290.0014161940325.1325.100.53450.0014191941320.1320.100.52740.0014211942303.8303.800.50420.0014251943293.7293.700.48980.0014241944273.2273.200.46070.0014181945266.2266.200.45080.0014141946264.4264.400.44820.0014131947251.5251.500.43010.0014031948250.2250.200.42820.0014021949221.2221.200.38810.0013681950205.2205.200.36640.0013441951197.3197.300.35580.0013311952188.1188.100.34360.0013141953187.2187.200.34240.0013121954183.1183.100.33710.0013041955180.1180.100.33320.0012981956175.0175.000.32660.0012881957170.8170.800.32120.0012791958169.5169.500.31950.0012761959160.3160.300.30790.0012561960159.9159.900.30740.0012551961146.3146.300.29050.0012231962146.1146.100.29030.0012231963146.0146.000.29020.0012231964145.3145.300.28930.0012211965137.8137.800.28020.0012031966132.9132.900.27430.0011901967128.5128.500.26910.0011791968119.3119.300.25840.0011551969118.5118.500.25750.0011521970100.2100.200.23680.001102197196.996.900.23320.001093197290.390.300.22610.001074197353.153.100.18820.000963197445.545.500.18090.000940197544.344.300.17980.000936

N

histograma

LN2ANALISIS CON DISTRIBUCION LOG - NORMAL DE 2 PARAMETROSAOQQ ORDENADOSy = ln (x)F(x)f(x)MEDIA300.84MEDIA5.420219261600.01600.007.37780.99580.0167DESV.EST.280.03DESV.EST.0.742919271200.01200.007.09010.98770.04291928720.0720.006.57930.94060.15901929669.0669.006.50580.92800.1846C.ASIMETRIA0.20411930580.1580.106.36320.89780.23991931572.1572.106.34930.89450.2457Si quiero conocer el caudal para Tr = 100 aos,1932502.1502.106.21880.85880.30131933500.0500.006.21460.85750.3032sabiendo que Tr = 1 / P exc1934483.6483.606.18130.84720.31771935427.5427.506.05800.80470.3715--> Pexc = 1 / 100 =0.011936360.5360.505.88750.73530.4406--> Pno exc = 1-P exc =0.991937350.1350.105.85820.72230.45131938349.1349.105.85540.72100.4524z = f ( Pno exc)=DISTR.NORM.ESTAND.INV(0,99)1939331.0331.005.80210.69640.47051940325.1325.105.78410.68790.4763z =2.3263478741941320.1320.105.76860.68050.48111942303.8303.805.71640.65490.4960y =m + z s1943293.7293.705.68260.63800.50461944273.2273.205.61020.60090.5197y =5,435 + 2,326 * 1,8051945266.2266.205.58420.58740.52411946264.4264.405.57750.58380.5251y =7.14841947251.5251.505.52740.55740.53151948250.2250.205.52230.55460.5320y =ln (x)1949221.2221.205.39910.48870.53681950205.2205.205.32400.44850.5325x =e (y)1951197.3197.305.28470.42770.52821952188.1188.105.23700.40260.5209x =1272.11953187.2187.205.23220.40010.52011954183.1183.105.21000.38860.51601955180.1180.105.19350.38010.51261956175.0175.005.16480.36550.50621957170.8170.805.14050.35330.50031958169.5169.505.13290.34950.49831959160.3160.305.07700.32210.48271960159.9159.905.07450.32090.48191961146.3146.304.98570.27930.45261962146.1146.104.98430.27870.45211963146.0146.004.98360.27840.45181964145.3145.304.97880.27620.45011965137.8137.804.92580.25290.43031966132.9132.904.88960.23750.41611967128.5128.504.85590.22380.40241968119.3119.304.78160.19500.37121969118.5118.504.77490.19250.36831970100.2100.204.60720.13690.2951197196.996.904.57370.12720.2806197290.390.304.50310.10850.2507197353.153.103.97220.02560.0803197445.545.503.81770.01550.0524197544.344.303.79100.01410.0485

LN2

x (Caudales)histograma de los x

LN3

y = ln xhistograma de los y

GumbelANALISIS CON DISTRIBUCION LOG - NORMAL DE 3 PARAMETROSAOQQ ORDENADOSy = ln (x-a)F(x)f(x)MEDIA300.8419261600.01600.007.393300.997400.01219DESV.EST.280.0319271200.01200.007.110750.991010.03683MEDIA5.42021928720.0720.006.613480.946510.16497DESV.EST.0.74291929669.0669.006.542570.933770.195061930580.1580.106.405510.902620.260961931572.1572.106.392200.899100.26782C.ASIMETRIA0.20411932502.1502.106.267520.861580.33487Si quiero conocer el caudal para Tr = 100 aos,1933500.0500.006.263530.860240.337071934483.6483.606.231800.849260.35466sabiendo que Tr = 1 / P exc1935427.5427.506.114940.804030.419281936360.5360.505.954720.730120.50120--> Pexc = 1 / 100 =0.011937350.1350.105.927370.716240.51366--> Pno exc = 1-P exc =0.991938349.1349.105.924700.714870.514851939331.0331.005.875120.688820.53578z = f ( Pexc)=DISTR.NORM.ESTAND.INV(0,99)1940325.1325.105.858410.679810.542331941320.1320.105.844030.671970.54775z =2.3263478741942303.8303.805.795660.645060.564421943293.7293.705.764460.627300.57379y =m + z s1944273.2273.205.697990.588600.589881945266.2266.205.674240.574540.59427y =5,731 + 2,326 * 1,367MEDIA5.55031946264.4264.405.668040.570850.59529DESV.EST.0.65961947251.5251.505.622460.543560.60125y =7.0847a(25.0680)1948250.2250.205.617750.540730.601701949221.2221.205.506420.473490.60352y =ln (x - a)C.ASIMETRIA4.73E-011950205.2205.205.439240.433150.596351951197.3197.305.404330.412430.59023x - a =e (y)1952188.1188.105.362080.387690.580731953187.2187.205.357850.385230.57965x - a =1193.51896455191954183.1183.105.338350.373980.574421955180.1180.105.323830.365670.57024x =7413,477 - 25,0681956175.0175.005.298660.351410.562401957170.8170.805.277440.339550.55526x =1168.51958169.5169.505.270780.335870.552911959160.3160.305.222340.309520.534531960159.9159.905.220180.308360.533651961146.3146.305.143810.268860.500241962146.1146.105.142650.268270.499701963146.0146.005.142060.267980.499421964145.3145.305.137960.265940.497501965137.8137.805.092940.244030.475601966132.9132.905.062390.229730.460081967128.5128.505.034140.216940.445321968119.3119.304.972370.190460.412041969118.5118.504.966810.188170.408991970100.2100.204.830460.137550.33343197196.996.904.803760.128850.31876197290.390.304.748130.111950.28871197353.153.104.358860.035430.11833197445.545.504.256580.024910.08835197544.344.304.239430.023440.08393

Gumbel

LN3; C.A.=0

parm Gumb0.01667897280.04293209480.15899828450.18462040790.23993325120.24565176450.30133250010.30316082620.31774936720.37149374430.44062662530.45133442530.45235691690.47054168620.47629548930.48108407880.49599483260.50455413840.51974068680.52408627620.52512246610.53145523950.53197780120.5368052510.53253747180.52816692750.52093462220.52009493330.51595642780.51259383760.5062024150.50027554810.49831569380.48268079540.48192879840.45257988610.4520918880.45184726070.45012312270.43034540540.41611632420.40244858360.37115165090.36825825570.29505203790.28056324810.25065699360.08034638390.05242786650.0484814267

LN2; C.A.=-0,8

GammaANALISIS CON DISTRIBUCION GUMBELVar. ReducidaAOQQ ORDENADOSy = (x - u)/aTr19261600.01600.005.93377.9519271200.01200.004.2872.411928720.0720.002.2910.341929669.0669.002.078.471930580.1580.101.716.021931572.1572.101.675.841932502.1502.101.384.511933500.0500.001.374.471934483.6483.601.314.211935427.5427.501.073.451936360.5360.500.802.751937350.1350.100.752.661938349.1349.100.752.651939331.0331.000.672.501940325.1325.100.652.461941320.1320.100.632.421942303.8303.800.562.301943293.7293.700.522.231944273.2273.200.432.101945266.2266.200.402.051946264.4264.400.402.041947251.5251.500.341.971948250.2250.200.341.961949221.2221.200.221.811950205.2205.200.151.731951197.3197.300.121.701952188.1188.100.081.661953187.2187.200.081.661954183.1183.100.061.641955180.1180.100.051.631956175.0175.000.031.611957170.8170.800.011.591958169.5169.500.001.591959160.3160.30(0.03)1.551960159.9159.90(0.04)1.551961146.3146.30(0.09)1.501962146.1146.10(0.09)1.501963146.0146.00(0.09)1.501964145.3145.30(0.10)1.501965137.8137.80(0.13)1.471966132.9132.90(0.15)1.461967128.5128.50(0.17)1.441968119.3119.30(0.20)1.421969118.5118.50(0.21)1.411970100.2100.20(0.28)1.36197196.996.90(0.30)1.35197290.390.30(0.32)1.33197353.153.10(0.48)1.25197445.545.50(0.51)1.23197544.344.30(0.51)1.23P exc = F (x > X)Si quiero conocer el caudal para Tr = 100 aos,sabiendo que:0.021 - e(-e(-y))=0.02e(-e(-y))=0.98-e(-y)=-0.0202027073e(-y)=0.0202027073-y =-3.9019386579x medio300.840.5485179.0000y =3.9019386579desv. Est x (Sx)280.031.160713.3000y =x-un = nmero de datos5032ayn medio =0.54850.538Sn =1.16071.1193x =u + a.yparmetros, segn nx =1109.9219.0a = Sx / Sn =241.2611.88u = x-yn*a=168.51172.61

Gamma

Tr (AOS)Q (m3/s))

Person IIIVALORES GUMBELMedia reducida Ynn0123456789100.49520.49960.50350.50700.51000.51280.51570.51810.52020.5220200.52300.52520.52680.52830.52960.53090.53200.53320.53430.5353300.53620.53710.53800.53880.53960.54020.54100.54180.54240.5430400.54360.54420.54480.54530.54580.54630.54680.54730.54770.5481500.54850.54890.54930.54970.55010.55040.55080.55110.55150.5518600.55210.55240.55270.55300.55330.55350.55380.55400.55430.5545700.55480.55500.55520.55550.55570.55590.55610.55630.55650.5567800.55690.55700.55720.55740.55760.55780.55800.55810.55830.5585900.55860.55870.55890.55910.55920.55930.55950.55960.55980.55991000.5600Desviacin tipica reducida Snn0123456789100.94960.96760.98330.99711.00951.02061.03161.04111.04931.0565201.06281.06961.07541.08111.08641.09151.09611.10041.10471.1086301.11241.11591.11931.22601.12551.12851.13131.13391.13631.3880401.14131.14301.14581.14801.14991.15191.15381.15571.15741.1590501.16071.16231.16381.16581.16671.16811.16961.17081.17211.1734601.17471.17591.17701.17821.17931.18031.18141.18241.18341.1844701.18541.18631.18731.18811.18901.18981.19061.19151.19231.1930801.19381.19451.19531.19591.19671.19731.19801.19871.19941.2001901.20071.20131.20201.20261.20321.20381.20441.20491.20551.20601001.2065

Bondad SKANALISIS CON DISTRIBUCION GAMMA DE 2 PARAMETROSAOSANCHEZ CERRODATOS ORDENADOSf(x)F(x)19261600.01600.001.176E-059.969E-0119271200.01200.005.218E-059.860E-011928720.0720.003.041E-049.172E-011929669.0669.003.657E-049.001E-011930580.1580.105.031E-048.618E-011931572.1572.105.177E-048.578E-011932502.1502.106.637E-048.166E-011933500.0500.006.687E-048.152E-011934483.6483.607.084E-048.039E-011935427.5427.508.620E-047.600E-011936360.5360.501.086E-036.950E-011937350.1350.101.125E-036.835E-01x (media)300.81938349.1349.101.129E-036.824E-01s2 (varianza)78416.21939331.0331.001.200E-036.613E-01a1.1541940325.1325.101.224E-036.542E-01b260.661941320.1320.101.245E-036.480E-011942303.8303.801.314E-036.271E-011943293.7293.701.359E-036.136E-01Si quiero conocer el caudal para Tr = 100 aos,1944273.2273.201.454E-035.848E-011945266.2266.201.488E-035.745E-01sabiendo que Tr = 1 / Pno exc1946264.4264.401.497E-035.718E-011947251.5251.501.560E-035.521E-01--> P exc = 1 / 100 =0.011948250.2250.201.567E-035.501E-01--> Pno exc = 1-P exc =0.991949221.2221.201.718E-035.025E-011950205.2205.201.806E-034.743E-01x = f ( Pno exc)=DISTR.GAMMA.INV(P;a;b)1951197.3197.301.850E-034.598E-011952188.1188.101.903E-034.426E-01x =1290.05916747421953187.2187.201.908E-034.409E-011954183.1183.101.932E-034.330E-011955180.1180.101.949E-034.272E-011956175.0175.001.979E-034.172E-011957170.8170.802.003E-034.088E-011958169.5169.502.011E-034.062E-011959160.3160.302.066E-033.874E-011960159.9159.902.068E-033.866E-011961146.3146.302.149E-033.579E-011962146.1146.102.150E-033.575E-011963146.0146.002.151E-033.573E-011964145.3145.302.155E-033.558E-011965137.8137.802.200E-033.394E-011966132.9132.902.229E-033.286E-011967128.5128.502.255E-033.187E-011968119.3119.302.310E-032.977E-011969118.5118.502.314E-032.959E-011970100.2100.202.419E-032.526E-01197196.996.902.438E-032.445E-01197290.390.302.473E-032.283E-01197353.153.102.628E-031.331E-01197445.545.502.642E-031.131E-01197544.344.302.644E-031.099E-01

Bondad SK

f(x)

F(x)

Valores de "K", para la distribucin Pearson tipo IIICoeficiente de asimetraNivel de probabilidad, porcentaje9980502010421Periodo de retorno en aosg1.01011.25251025501003-0.667-0.636-0.3960.421.182.2783.1524.0512.8-0.714-0.666-0.3840.461.212.2753.1143.9732.6-0.769-0.696-0.3680.4991.2382.2673.0713.8892.4-0.832-0.725-0.3510.5371.2622.2563.0233.82.2-0.905-0.752-0.330.5741.2842.242.973.7052-0.99-0.777-0.3070.6091.3022.2192.9123.6051.8-1.087-0.7999-0.2820.6431.3182.1932.8483.4991.6-1.197-0.8177-0.2540.6751.3292.1632.783.3881.4-1.318-0.8332-0.2250.7051.3372.1282.7063.2711.2-1.449-0.844-0.1950.7321.342.0872.6263.1491-1.558-0.852-0.1640.7581.342.0432.5423.0220.8-1.733-0.856-0.1320.781.3361.9932.4532.8910.6-1.88-0.857-0.0990.81.3281.9392.3592.7550.4-2.029-0.855-0.0660.8161.3171.882.2612.6150.2-2.178-0.85-0.0330.831.3011.8182.1592.4720-2.326-0.84200.8421.2821.7512.0542.326-0.2-2.472-0.830.0330.851.2581.681.9452.178-0.4-2.615-0.8160.0660.8551.2321.6061.8342.029-0.6-2.755-0.80.0990.8571.21.5281.721.88-0.8-2.891-0.780.1320.8561.1661.4481.6061.733-1-3.022-0.7580.1640.8521.1281.3661.4921.588-1.2-3.149-0.7320.1950.8441.0861.2821.3791.449-1.4-3.271-0.7050.2250.8321.0411.1981.271.318-1.6-3.388-0.6750.2540.8170.9941.1161.1661.197-1.8-3.499-0.6430.2820.7990.9451.0351.0691.087-2-3.605-0.6090.3070.7770.8950.9580.980.99-2.2-3.705-0.5740.330.7520.8440.8880.90.905-2.4-3.8-0.5370.3510.7250.7950.8230.830.832-2.6-3.889-0.4990.3680.6960.7470.7640.7680.769-2.8-3.973-0.460.3840.6660.7020.7120.7140.714-3-4.051-0.420.3960.6360.660.6660.6660.667

Parmetros: Forma: x> 0Escala: x > 0

1.01011.2525102550100Coeficiente de asimetra, gcoeficiente KK versus g para diferentes TrK(Tr) = f (g)

Probabilidad de excedencia F(x)Diferencia Delta DDATOSEmpricaNormalLN2LN3GumbelGammaNormalLN2LN3GumbelGamma11600.00.0200.0000.0040.0030.0030.0030.020410.016200.017810.017760.0172721200.00.0410.0010.0120.0090.0140.0140.040150.028520.031820.027010.026823720.00.0610.0670.0590.0530.0970.0830.005990.001870.007740.035460.021604669.00.0820.0940.0720.0660.1180.1000.012670.009670.015400.036420.018235580.10.1020.1590.1020.0970.1660.1380.057280.000110.004660.064010.036126572.10.1220.1660.1060.1010.1710.1420.043900.016930.021550.048700.019807502.10.1430.2360.1410.1380.2220.1830.093300.001670.004430.079040.040548500.00.1630.2380.1420.1400.2240.1850.075210.020810.023500.060340.021539483.60.1840.2570.1530.1510.2370.1960.073320.030870.032930.053630.0124110427.50.2040.3260.1950.1960.2900.2400.121440.008770.008110.085440.0359211360.50.2240.4160.2650.2700.3630.3050.191150.040170.045390.138660.0805012350.10.2450.4300.2780.2840.3760.3160.185280.032820.038860.130790.0715813349.10.2650.4320.2790.2850.3770.3180.166280.013710.019820.111600.0523014331.00.2860.4570.3040.3110.3990.3390.171400.017870.025470.113740.0529615325.10.3060.4650.3120.3200.4070.3460.159360.005980.014070.100860.0397016320.10.3270.4730.3200.3280.4130.3520.146050.007010.001500.086910.0254717303.80.3470.4960.3450.3550.4350.3730.148840.001880.008000.087970.0259118293.70.3670.5100.3620.3730.4490.3860.142820.005370.005350.081190.0190119273.20.3880.5390.3990.4110.4770.4150.151560.011310.023650.089130.0274320266.20.4080.5490.4130.4250.4870.4250.141060.004450.017300.078610.0173221264.40.4290.5520.4160.4290.4890.4280.123200.012400.000580.060760.0004122251.50.4490.5700.4430.4560.5080.4480.120950.006370.007460.058850.0011023250.20.4690.5720.4450.4590.5100.4500.102370.024030.010120.040330.0194824221.20.4900.6120.5110.5270.5520.4980.122150.021550.036720.062580.0077325205.20.5100.6340.5520.5670.5760.5260.123450.041320.056650.066180.0155126197.30.5310.6440.5720.5880.5880.5400.113600.041740.056950.057710.0095527188.10.5510.6560.5970.6120.6020.5570.105360.046390.061290.051260.0064128187.20.5710.6580.6000.6150.6040.5590.086130.028470.043340.032220.0122929183.10.5920.6630.6110.6260.6100.5670.071090.019540.034190.018050.0248230180.10.6120.6670.6200.6340.6140.5730.054580.007630.022090.002210.0394131175.00.6330.6730.6350.6490.6220.5830.040770.001850.015930.010430.0498032170.80.6530.6790.6470.6600.6290.5910.025750.006330.007380.024430.0618533169.50.6730.6800.6510.6640.6310.5940.007000.022920.009330.042860.0796534160.30.6940.6920.6780.6900.6450.6130.001750.015950.003400.049240.0813035159.90.7140.6930.6790.6920.6450.6130.021660.035150.022650.069040.1008836146.30.7350.7090.7210.7310.6660.6420.025210.013990.003550.068760.0926237146.10.7550.7100.7210.7320.6660.6430.045380.033780.023370.088860.1126038146.00.7760.7100.7220.7320.6660.6430.065660.053880.043490.109120.1327939145.30.7960.7110.7240.7340.6670.6440.085210.072120.061850.128460.1516940137.80.8160.7200.7470.7560.6790.6610.096530.069190.060350.137510.1557741132.90.8370.7260.7620.7700.6860.6710.111080.074270.066470.150520.1653342128.50.8570.7310.7760.7830.6930.6810.126280.080900.074090.164300.1758743119.30.8780.7420.8050.8100.7070.7020.135950.072560.068010.170940.1752844118.50.8980.7430.8070.8120.7080.7040.155430.090490.086130.190150.1938345100.20.9180.7630.8630.8620.7350.7470.155210.055250.055920.183560.170924696.90.9390.7670.8730.8710.7400.7550.172000.066020.067620.199170.183314790.30.9590.7740.8910.8880.7490.7720.185250.067700.071140.210040.187524853.10.9800.8120.9740.9650.8010.8670.167750.005230.015020.178790.112724945.51.0000.8190.9850.9750.8110.8870.180930.015500.024910.189180.113105044.31.0200.8200.9860.9770.8120.8900.200210.034560.043840.208020.130330.200210.090490.086130.210040.19383RechazadaAceptadaAceptadaRechazadaAceptada0.19230.1923330445

Tr = 100Tr = 1.01

MBD0036F04A.unknown


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